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LINK HORIZONS 2026

Link Ventures' investment theses for early-stage startups. A map of where we believe the next great companies will be built, and an invitation to founders who want to build them with us.

Who we are

Link Ventures

Link Ventures is Link School of Business's platform for creating, accelerating and investing in startups. Our motto sums up the journey: from idea to impact. Three engines work in sequence (school, accelerator and fund), with a presence in São Paulo and Miami, supporting founders from the classroom all the way to the investment check.

In the video alongside, an introduction to Link Horizons: what this map is, why it exists and how to use it.

The school: Link School of Business

It all starts at Link School of Business, the business school where the platform was born. The program combines business disciplines (finance, marketing, technology, people and management) with behavioral development and real-world projects, in an environment that treats entrepreneurship as a craft you learn by doing.

The creation journey: Startup School

Inside the school, Startup School is the program where the company gets off the ground: students build the team, ship the MVP, validate the idea with real customers and present results. The core KPI isn't academic: it's students with a company formed, generating revenue from a validated product or service. It's the natural gateway to the accelerator and the fund.

The accelerator: Link Vector

Our early-stage accelerator. After gaining the business tools and personal development, founders put them into practice with the Link ecosystem as a partner: mentorship, community, knowledge hubs with entrepreneurs and investors, and Demo Days.

The fund: Link Capital

The platform's early-stage investment fund, dedicated to backing the most promising companies in the ecosystem. It works alongside the accelerator to provide capital and support at the stage when every dollar and every piece of advice matters most.

How we read the world

The three pillars

Every thesis that follows passes through three filters. They aren't sectors; they're lenses. A strong opportunity for Link usually combines all three.

Pillar 1

B2B businesses

Selling to companies means larger contracts, higher retention and more predictable revenue. In 2026, the best buyers are paying attention: YC reports startups closing pilots and multimillion-dollar contracts with the world's largest companies within their first year.

Pillar 2

Global from day 1

The underlying technology is the same everywhere. What changes is who implements it and at what cost. LATAM founders combine world-class teams with implementation costs that speed up returns. Selling abroad starts as a real option, not a distant dream.

Pillar 3

Applied AI and deeptech

We're not looking for generic AI. We're looking for AI that solves a specific industry problem, with proprietary data and deep integration. As Sequoia puts it, AI is going through a platform shift as transformative as the arrival of the internet.

The map

The themes across the three criteria

Before diving into each theme, take a look at the full map. Each bubble is a theme from this document, positioned by our qualitative reading of the three pillars: the further right, the more intense the application of AI and deeptech; the higher up, the greater the potential to be born global; the bigger the bubble, the stronger the B2B fit. The solid navy bubbles are the 7 core themes; the hollow yellow circles are the radar, themes we follow without going deep.

Global potential from day 1
5
4
1
2
3
6
7
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
Intensity of applied AI and deeptech
Bubble size = strength of B2B fit. Positions reflect Link's qualitative reading, not an exact measurement.
Core themes: 1. AI as a service · 2. AI agents in the back office · 3. Physical world (industry and logistics) · 4. AI-native companies in traditional sectors · 5. Stablecoins and LATAM fintech · 6. Health · 7. Agriculture
On the radar (hollow circles): A. Infrastructure for agents · B. Energy and compute · C. Voice AI · D. Cybersecurity · E. TechBio · F. Proof of personhood · G. AI for marketing and creative · H. Sectors with a digitization gap · I. Transforming education
How to read it: themes 1, 2 and 4 hold Link's core bet on applied AI, with global reach and strong B2B. Themes 6 and 7 (health and agriculture) sit further left and lower on purpose: they are bets that start from Brazil's strengths, with very high fit, before going global. Theme 5 (stablecoins) sits alone on the left because its core technology is blockchain, not AI. The hollow circles are the radar: themes we follow without going deep in this edition.
Before you start

Quick glossary

The startup world speaks half in jargon, half in acronyms. Here are the essentials for reading this document without getting stuck. In the tables, rows highlighted in green mark Brazilian companies.

B2B / B2C / B2G: selling to businesses / to end consumers / to governments.
Equity: ownership in the company. When a fund invests for equity, it becomes a partner, owning a slice of the business.
Early-stage: the beginning of a startup's life, from its first sales to its first investment rounds.
Round (seed, Series A, B...): each time a startup raises money from investors. Seed is the first major round; the letters come after.
Valuation: the total value of the company agreed upon in a round. Post-money is that value including the money that just came in.
ARR: annual recurring revenue. How much the company bills per year from subscriptions and recurring contracts.
Moat: the "castle moat." The hard-to-copy advantage that protects a company from competitors.
SaaS: software sold as an online subscription, the dominant model of the past two decades.
LLM: large language model, the technology behind Claude, GPT and Gemini.
Deeptech: businesses built on frontier science or engineering, not just on an app.
Back office: the behind-the-scenes work of a company: checking documents, processing payments, filling in systems.
Compliance: the set of rules and laws a company must follow, and the team that makes sure it does.
KYC / AML: "know your customer" and anti-money laundering. Obligations for every bank and fintech.
Stablecoin: a digital currency pegged to a real currency (almost always the dollar) that moves across the internet in seconds.
Cross-border: any transaction that crosses national borders, such as a payment from Brazil to the US.
RFS: Request for Startups, the format Y Combinator created to publish the ideas it wants to fund.
Theme 1

AI as a service: the vertical application layer

What we're looking for: the verticalized application layer of AI: software specialized in a human task (law, finance, marketing, customer service) that delivers the finished work, with a moat of proprietary industry data and a built-in service layer. Sold B2B; the customer buys the outcome, not the tool.
THESIS ORIGIN: the article "Services: The New Software" by Julien Bek (Sequoia Capital), the "AI-Native Service Companies" request in Y Combinator's RFS and a16z's "AI Inside" thesis.

What it is

AI as a service is the evolution of SaaS. Instead of selling a tool so the customer can do the work, the startup does the work and delivers the outcome: the books closed, the contract reviewed, the ticket resolved. The product that delivers this work is almost always a vertical AI agent: built for a specific industry, workflow and persona, loaded with the domain knowledge and integrations a generic tool will never have. This is the principle running through this entire document: specialization wins. The underlying language model may be the same (Claude, GPT, Gemini), but the moat (the hard-to-copy advantage) lies in the proprietary data, the integrations and the rules of each industry.

Why now

  • The thesis comes from Sequoia partner Julien Bek, in the article "Services: The New Software": for every US$1 spent on software, US$6 is spent on services. The global professional services market exceeds US$6 trillion, versus about US$700 billion for software. AI-powered service companies run at close to 70% gross margin, versus 90% for pure SaaS, but they capture a market six times larger.
  • The easiest entry point is what's already outsourced. If a company already pays a third party to do the work, it has already accepted that the work can be done outside, which makes switching to an AI product structurally simpler.
  • The proof that the model works is the fastest revenue curves ever seen in software: Harvey (legal) reached about US$190M in ARR (annual recurring revenue) and an US$11 billion valuation; Bret Taylor's Sierra (customer service) reached about US$200M in ARR and a US$15.8 billion valuation, charging per resolution rather than per seat.
  • Gartner projects that 40% of enterprise applications will embed task-specific agents by the end of 2026, up from less than 5% in 2025.
  • YC dedicated a request to "AI-Native Service Companies," listing insurance brokerage, accounting, tax and audit, and healthcare administration as preferred targets. a16z's "AI Inside" thesis models roughly 10x revenue expansion per customer for those delivering reliable agents.
  • A structural advantage for LATAM: the underlying technology is the same for everyone, and the difference lies in who implements it and at what cost. Teams in the region deliver the same result with a faster return for the customer.

Companies building in this space

CompanyFocusWhat it doesAccelerator / fund
HarveyLegalAgents that carry out complete legal work for law firms and companiesSequoia, GIC, a16z
SierraCustomer serviceVoice and text agents that resolve customer service, charging per resolutionBenchmark, Sequoia, Greenoaks
EvenUpLegal (personal injury)Builds the injury claim end to endBessemer, Bain Capital Ventures
RilletAccountingAutomated closing of the booksSequoia, ICONIQ
DecagonCustomer serviceAI-native support agentsa16z, Accel
Cognition / DevinSoftware engineeringAutonomous software engineerFounders Fund, 8VC
Enter (Brazil)LegalAI agents that handle mass litigation (large volumes of lawsuits) end to endUS$40.5M Series A
Blip (Brazil)Conversational AI and customer serviceConversational AI that automates customer service for major brandsWarburg Pincus, Microsoft (partnership)
Tako (Brazil)Human resourcesAI agents that automate payroll and HR processesRibbit, a16z
Logcomex (Brazil)Foreign tradeAI that organizes import and export data for foreign-trade decisionsRiverwood, Softbank
Funds working on this thesis: Sequoia (author of "Services: The New Software"), Y Combinator, a16z, Kleiner Perkins, Bessemer. In LATAM, Kaszek states that virtually every emerging company is AI-first, and Valor Capital follows the theme across its cross-border portfolio.
Food for thought
  • What service do companies in your city already pay third parties to do (accounting, legal, collections) that an AI agent could deliver ready-made?
  • What industry do you know better than most people? What unwritten rule of that industry would an agent need to learn to work in it?
  • If you sold the outcome instead of the tool, how would you charge: per completed task, per result achieved or by monthly subscription?
Theme 2

AI agents in the back office: workflows for corporate B2B and SMBs

What we're looking for: AI agents that take over entire back-office workflows (finance, reconciliation, collections, data entry, compliance) inside large companies and SMBs, plugged into the systems they already use. The line with Theme 1 is clear: there, the customer buys a finished outcome from outside, delivered by vertical software; here, they hire agents that run the company's own internal processes.
THESIS ORIGIN: the "AI-Native Compliance Infrastructure" request in Y Combinator's Fall 2026 RFS, a16z's AI operations thesis and the regtech theses of funds such as Ten Eleven Ventures.

What it is

Agents that replace entire back offices in finance, accounting and, increasingly, in compliance, KYC/AML and fraud prevention. Unlike a chatbot that summarizes data, this is a digital worker that investigates the case, takes action and produces an auditable result. These are the functions every company needs and nobody enjoys running.

Why now

  • The problem is big and expensive. In traditional AML, 90% to 95% of alerts are false positives, and producing a single suspicious activity report can take four days or more.
  • Banks allocate 10% to 15% of headcount to KYC and AML activities and still detect only about 2% of global financial crime flows. That gap between cost and effectiveness is the opportunity.
  • Variance raised a US$21.5M Series A for AI agents that automate KYC, KYB, AML, transaction monitoring and fraud detection, processing more than 70 million context signals per day.
  • The regtech market for financial crime compliance is expected to grow from about US$4.5 billion in 2025 to well beyond that over the decade, driven by milestones such as the European AMLA.
  • Direct validation from YC: the Fall 2026 RFS explicitly asks for "AI-Native Compliance Infrastructure," infrastructure that consolidates fragmented tools, reduces dependence on specialized headcount and provides real-time visibility across multiple regulatory regimes. In YC's view, whoever gets it right becomes essential infrastructure for any business operating globally.

Companies building in this space

CompanyFocusWhat it doesAccelerator / fund
EvenUpLegal back officeProduces case documentation end to endBessemer, Bain Capital Ventures
RampFinance and back officeAutomates spend, accounts payable and closingFounders Fund, Thrive
VarianceCompliance and fraudAgents that investigate KYC/AML and produce auditable decisionsTen Eleven Ventures
Unit21Risk and AMLAgentic system that tunes rules and runs investigationsTiger Global, ICONIQ
VantaSecurity complianceContinuous compliance automationSequoia, Goldman Sachs
Idwall (Brazil)Identity and KYCReal-time identity verification and fraud prevention for businessesGGV, Monashees, Canary
Neoway (Brazil)Data and complianceData intelligence for risk analysis, compliance and credit (acquired by B3)B3 (acquisition), Temasek
Funds working on this thesis: Sequoia, a16z, Ten Eleven Ventures (cyber). For LATAM, it's a B2B theme tied to the region's growing regulatory demands and to Theme 5 (stablecoins and fintech).
Food for thought
  • What behind-the-scenes work (checking, typing, cross-referencing spreadsheets) have you seen consume an entire team?
  • If an agent resolved 90% of cases on its own, how would you handle the 10% of exceptions?
  • How would your solution prove to an auditor that every decision was made the right way?
Theme 3

The physical world: industry and logistics with hardware + software

What we're looking for: industry and logistics startups that combine hardware and software: robots and automation for factories and warehouses, systems that orchestrate industrial and logistics operations, and smart cameras, drones and sensors that generate operational data. The robot, the brain and the eyes of the factory and the supply chain.
THESIS ORIGIN: the "New Operating Systems for the Physical World" and "Data for the Real World" requests in Y Combinator's Fall 2026 RFS, a16z's American Dynamism thesis and the industrial vertical SaaS track record of funds such as Bessemer.

What it is

AI has become superhuman at code, text and images, but 80% of the global workforce doesn't sit at a desk. This theme brings together three fronts that feed each other: robots and flexible automation for factories and warehouses (hardware); the software that plans, routes and coordinates construction, logistics and field service teams (the digital brain); and the smart cameras, drones and sensors that collect dense data from farms, machines and infrastructure (the eyes). Whoever runs the system records real work as it happens, a dataset not even frontier models will have.

Why now

  • YC's Fall 2026 RFS made this thesis a central request: there are now three types of workers to orchestrate (AI agents that quote and schedule, robots in the field and humans with wearables, devices that record the work). These sectors spend 10 to 100 times more on labor than on software.
  • According to Crunchbase, robotics startups had already raised US$18.8 billion year-to-date in 2026, versus US$15 billion in all of 2025. Goldman Sachs projects a humanoid robot market of US$38 billion by 2035.
  • Sensor costs have plummeted, and multimodal AI can read construction blueprints, photos, invoices and work orders, digitizing processes that used to require a human on site.
  • YC cites the reference cases in physical data: Gecko Robotics collects data on critical assets with robots, and Sorcerer operates autonomous weather balloons used by the US government.
  • The Brazil angle: construction, agri-logistics, mining and field services are enormous, under-digitized and full of founders who understand the operation better than any foreign vendor.

Companies building in this space

CompanySubthemeWhat it doesAccelerator / fund
FigureHumanoid robotsGeneral-purpose robots for manufacturinga16z, Microsoft, NVIDIA
ApptronikHumanoid robotsApollo robot for logistics and industryGoogle, Mercedes-Benz
Gecko RoboticsData and inspectionRobots that collect data on critical assets and build predictive modelsUSIT, Cox Enterprises, YC
Trunk ToolsOperations softwareAI agents for coordinating construction sitesRedpoint, Innovation Endeavors
FlexportLogisticsSoftware to orchestrate global supply chainsa16z, Founders Fund
Solinftec (Brazil)Agricultural roboticsAutonomous robots (such as Solix) that monitor crops and apply inputs with precisionLightsmith, Unbox Capital
Tractian (Brazil)Industrial maintenanceSensors and AI for machine reliability and field servicesSapphire, General Catalyst, NEA
Cobli (Brazil)FleetsTurns telematics data into fleet management and safetySoftbank, Fifth Wall
XMobots (Brazil)DronesLatin America's largest drone manufacturer; maps crops, mining and infrastructureStrategic domestic investments
Auvo (Brazil)Field servicesSoftware that organizes field maintenance and service teamsDomestic SaaS investors
Funds working on this thesis: Y Combinator (two explicit requests in Fall 2026), a16z (American Dynamism), Bessemer, Founders Fund and, in Brazil, Monashees, Astella and SP Ventures.
Food for thought
  • How does a construction site, trucking company or maintenance crew you know organize its work today: paper, WhatsApp, spreadsheets?
  • What valuable data is generated (and lost) every day on a job site, in a fleet or on a farm, and what's the cheapest way to capture it: sensor, drone, camera or robot?
  • What factory or warehouse could you visit this month to see the bottleneck with your own eyes?
Theme 4

AI-native companies in traditional sectors

What we're looking for: founders who, instead of selling AI to an industry, start their own business in that industry, operating with very few people and as much AI as possible: the AI-native law firm, accounting firm or architecture studio. B2C fits here too.
THESIS ORIGIN: Sequoia's investment in Crosby (an AI-native law firm), General Catalyst's "creation" strategy of founding AI-native companies from scratch, and the movement of private equity funds buying service firms to run them with AI.

What it is

This is Theme 1 seen from the other side of the counter. Instead of building the AI that firms buy, the founder builds the firm itself on top of AI. From the outside the business looks traditional (it serves legal, accounting, architecture and immigration clients), but inside it runs with a fraction of the people and with margins the industry has never seen. The advantage: the founder doesn't need to convince a conservative buyer to adopt technology; they compete with that buyer in the end market.

Why now

  • Crosby, an AI-native law firm backed by Sequoia, reviews contracts in hours instead of days and charges for the outcome. It's the proof of concept that the model attracts top-tier capital.
  • Garfield AI, in the UK, was the first AI-driven law firm approved by the industry regulator (SRA), setting the regulatory precedent for the category.
  • Professional services are a trillion-dollar market that has run on the same billable-hour pyramid model for a century. Every hour AI eliminates becomes margin for whoever operates AI-native.
  • For students and recent graduates, this is the most concrete entry point in this document: it requires understanding a trade and rebuilding it with AI, not inventing new technology.

Companies building in this space

CompanySectorWhat it doesAccelerator / fund
CrosbyLawAI-native law firm that delivers contract review in hoursSequoia
Garfield AILawFirst AI-driven law firm approved by the UK regulatorIndependent capital
PilotAccountingAccounting delivered as a service, with proprietary technologySequoia, Index
EveLawAI that multiplies the capacity of plaintiff law firmsa16z
Contabilizei (Brazil)AccountingDigital accounting for small businesses, a pioneer of the model in BrazilKaszek, Goldman Sachs
Funds working on this thesis: Sequoia (Crosby), a16z and General Catalyst's "creation" strategy, which founds AI-native companies from scratch. In the US, private equity funds are already buying traditional firms to run them with AI.
Food for thought
  • What professional service would you hire cheaper and faster if someone ran it with AI: accountant, lawyer, architect, paperwork agent?
  • If you opened that business tomorrow with 3 people and AI instead of 30, what would you charge and what would you deliver within 24 hours?
  • Which rule from the industry's professional board (OAB, CRC, CAU) would you need to follow from your very first client?
Theme 5

Stablecoins and B2B fintech infrastructure in LATAM

What we're looking for: B2B startups that use stablecoins as payment and treasury rails for LATAM companies, built within Central Bank rules.
THESIS ORIGIN: the crypto theses of a16z and QED Investors, Stripe's acquisition of Bridge and the "The Best Time to Build in Crypto" request in Y Combinator's Fall 2026 RFS, which cites on- and off-ramps for LATAM.

What it is

Stablecoin-based payment rails for remittances, treasury and cross-border B2B payments. They settle in seconds, work 24 hours a day and cross borders without the friction of correspondent banking. For LATAM, it's less about speculative crypto and more about rebuilding the region's financial infrastructure from the ground up.

Why now

  • According to McKinsey, based on Artemis data, stablecoin payment volume reached about US$390 billion in 2025, more than double 2024. B2B payments accounted for about US$226 billion, up 733% year over year.
  • 71% of LATAM companies already use stablecoins for cross-border payments, according to Fireblocks. Brazil is the region's largest crypto market, with more than 90% of flows going through stablecoins.
  • Consolidation and validation: Stripe integrated Bridge (acquired for US$1.1 billion), and ARQ (formerly DolarApp) raised US$70M from Sequoia and Founders Fund.
  • YC's contrarian take in the Fall 2026 RFS: with prices down and builders leaving, YC declares itself "more optimistic than ever." Bear markets (periods of falling prices) are when real projects get built, and YC expects every startup in its portfolio to use crypto rails, from fundraising to payments, even without knowing it. It highlights BlindPay and Infinia building the developer interface and the ramps for Latin America, and bets on agentic commerce: agents using crypto networks as financial rails.
  • Regulatory warning for Brazilian founders: in 2026 the Central Bank of Brazil, through BCB Resolution No. 561, barred regulated electronic foreign exchange (eFX) providers from using stablecoins and other crypto assets to settle the offshore leg of cross-border payments, effective October 2026. The thesis is still alive, but the regulatory framework demands extra care from anyone building in Brazil.

Companies building in this space

CompanyFocusWhat it doesAccelerator / fund
Bridge (Stripe)Stablecoin infrastructureStablecoin issuance and settlement via APIStripe (acquired for US$1.1B)
ARQ (ex-DolarApp)LATAM dollar neobankDollar accounts and cross-border transfersSequoia, Founders Fund
Bitso BusinessLATAM settlementUS-Mexico remittance rails and regional treasuryQED, Kaszek, Tiger Global
ConduitCross-border paymentsStablecoin payouts in emerging marketsCircle, Dragonfly, Altos
RainCard issuingDollar-denominated cards on stablecoin railsNorwest, Lightspeed
Lumx (Brazil)Stablecoin infrastructureAPIs for banks and fintechs to integrate stablecoin payments; clients include Elo and BTGIndicator, CMT Digital, Antler
Parfin (Brazil)Institutional digital assetsCustody, trading and the Rayls blockchain for banks to enter the tokenized economyParaFi, Framework
Transfero (Brazil)Brazilian real stablecoinIssues BRZ, Latin America's largest stablecoin pegged to the Brazilian realStrategic investors
Funds working on this thesis: a16z, Sequoia, Bessemer and, in LATAM fintech, QED Investors and Ribbit Capital.
Food for thought
  • Who in Brazil struggles to send or receive money from abroad, and how much do they pay for it today?
  • What would a company gain if it received in 10 seconds what currently takes 2 days?
  • How would you build this product while following Central Bank rules from day one?
Theme 6

Healthcare: applied AI in health

What we're looking for: B2B health startups focused on three fronts: health data, the digital patient experience and the intermediary steps where money gets lost between the appointment, the insurer and payment. A theme kept separate because of Link's context: our community has a strong presence of physicians and healthcare professionals, and the concern is generational.
THESIS ORIGIN: a16z's bio and health vertical (a US$700M fund), record rounds for Abridge and OpenEvidence, and the "AI for the Aging Population" request in Y Combinator's Fall 2026 RFS.

What it is

AI applied across the healthcare chain: clinical documentation, evidence-based clinical decision-making, administration and revenue cycle, and personalized medicine. It's the vertical where vertical AI turned into real revenue the fastest, starting with doctors' most universal pain point: documentation bureaucracy, which eats up 30% to 50% of their working time.

Why now

  • Abridge raised a US$300M Series E led by a16z, with Khosla, at a US$5.3 billion valuation, with partnerships with more than 150 US health systems, a sign of how fast adoption is moving.
  • Ambient scribes (AIs that listen to the appointment and write the clinical note on their own) generated US$600M in revenue in 2025, a 2.4x increase year over year, according to market data.
  • AMA research shows the average physician already uses AI for 2.3 distinct use cases, up from 1.1 in 2023.
  • An adjacent area highlighted by YC's Fall 2026 RFS: AI for the aging population. By 2030, one in five Americans will be over 65, with millions of unfilled caregiving jobs and 53 million family members doing this work unpaid. Voice interfaces, monitoring for independent living and care coordination are the B2B side of this wave.
  • A strong Brazilian signal: Arvo, a platform that uses AI to prevent fraud in healthcare transactions, raised a US$20M Series A led by Kaszek, a B2B case born in Brazil within this thesis.

Companies building in this space

CompanyFocusWhat it doesAccelerator / fund
AbridgeClinical documentationTranscribes the appointment into a clinical note in real timea16z, Khosla
OpenEvidenceClinical decision-makingMedical evidence search at the point of careSequoia, GV, Kleiner Perkins
Hippocratic AIHealthcare agentsVoice agents for non-diagnostic clinical tasksa16z, General Catalyst
NablaClinical documentationAmbient scribe with a strong presence in EuropeCathay, DST
Arvo (Brazil)Health fintechProtects transactions and reduces fraud in medical billingKaszek
Isa Saúde (Brazil)Home careAI that makes hospital-at-home care more efficientEarly-stage investors
Huna (Brazil)Early diagnosisAI that detects signs of cancer in routine blood tests, with validation published in NatureUS$1.5M pre-seed
Funds working on this thesis: a16z, Khosla, Sequoia, General Catalyst. In Brazil, Kaszek (via Arvo) and the local healthtech ecosystem.
Food for thought
  • How much time does the doctor or clinic you know spend on paperwork instead of on the patient?
  • Where does money get lost on the way between the appointment, the health plan and the payment?
  • What healthcare task doesn't require a diagnosis (scheduling, reminding, explaining, following up) and could already be done by AI today?
Theme 7

Agtech: AI in the sector where Brazil is a powerhouse

What we're looking for: startups applying AI to agribusiness: credit and risk, field data, crop operations and commercialization. Solve the farmer's pain with tropicalized context and export the solution to the world's other breadbaskets.
THESIS ORIGIN: the thesis of Gama Fund (Monashees + Google AI Futures Fund) on AI-native Brazilian founders, Radar Agtech Brasil (Embrapa and SP Ventures) and Kaszek's take on an AI-first LATAM.

What it is

AI applied to agribusiness, the sector in which Brazil is a global powerhouse. The logic: instead of importing technology built for American or European farms, solve the Brazilian farmer's pain points (expensive credit, climate risk, labor shortages, decisions made by eye) with tropicalized data and context, then export the solution to the world's other major breadbaskets. A farmer planting soybeans in Mato Grosso faces the same problems as one planting in Argentina, India or Africa.

Why now

  • Radar Agtech Brasil, in its 6th edition (Embrapa, SP Ventures and Homo Ludens), counted 2,075 agtechs in 2025, up 5% from 2024. Of these, 83% use AI in their processes or products and 35% have AI at the core of their value proposition.
  • Agribusiness accounts for about 25% of Brazil's GDP, and production financing is moving toward a field of data: satellite and AI monitoring, digital legal certainty and automated credit pipelines.
  • Brazil concentrates about 74% of AI investment in Latin America, which makes São Paulo, Campinas and Belo Horizonte strategic hubs.
  • Rural credit is moving to the "field of data": satellite and AI analysis cuts the decision to finance a harvest from weeks to days, and whoever builds that pipeline captures one of the country's largest financial flows.

Companies building in this space

CompanyFocusWhat it doesAccelerator / fund
Carbon RoboticsAutonomous weedingMachines that eliminate weeds with lasers, without pesticidesUS venture funds
Solinftec (Brazil)Agricultural roboticsAutonomous robots (such as Solix) that monitor crops and apply inputs with precisionLightsmith, Unbox Capital
Nagro (Brazil)Rural creditAI that speeds up credit analysis for farmersAgri-fintech investors
Traive (Brazil)Agri riskCalculates credit risk using satellite imagery, weather and economic dataBanco do Brasil (partnership), agri funds
Agrosmart (Brazil)Digital agricultureSensors and AI to monitor weather and soil and support decisions in the fieldSP Ventures, Inovabra
Agrolend (Brazil)Agri fintechDigital credit bank for small and mid-sized farmersLightrock, Yara, Valor
Funds working on this thesis: SP Ventures (agtech), Monashees, Kaszek and Gama Fund (Monashees + Google AI Futures Fund), focused on AI-native Brazilian founders.
Food for thought
  • What farmer pain point do you know, or could you discover by talking to one this weekend?
  • What data does Brazil have in abundance (harvests, weather, soil) that the whole world would pay to use?
  • How would your solution work on a farm without a stable internet connection?
Radar

Themes we follow, without going deep in this edition

These themes are real and attract capital from top-tier funds, but in this edition they stay on the radar: they demand a very specific technical profile, a large capital check or are still searching for the winning business model. If you're building in one of them, we still want to talk.

Sectors with a huge digitization gap

Sectors that technology has ignored (laundromats, funeral homes, auto repair shops, salons, small services) run on notebooks and phone calls. AI has slashed the cost of building full-stack software, making it viable to digitize large, analog markets with no quality competition end to end. References such as Cents (laundromats), Shopmonkey (auto repair) and Empathy (funeral) show the hidden size.

Infrastructure for agents

The tools that make AI agents work: connectivity (MCP), memory, identity, monitoring. An extremely strong global theme, with big appetite from YC and a16z, but one that demands a deeply technical founder profile and heavy infrastructure.

Energy and compute for AI

AI's bottleneck has become energy and data centers, and Brazil has a clean energy mix to spare. We follow it through the efficiency software layer, which is lighter on capital than physical infrastructure.

Applied voice AI

Voice agents for collections, scheduling and customer service in Portuguese. Today we treat it as a delivery format for Theme 1, not as a theme of its own. If voice is the heart of your product, Theme 1 is your way in.

Cybersecurity in the age of agents

Every agent in production is a new identity with access to systems, and defending against agent manipulation still has no standard. Resilient B2B budgets, in a market where the early-stage category is still taking shape.

TechBio

AI to discover molecules, proteins and materials, with Brazil's bioeconomy as a unique asset. A long, capital-intensive development cycle, typical of frontier deeptech funded by specialized funds such as Lux Capital.

Proof of personhood

The layer that verifies there's a real human on the other side, against deepfakes and fraud. An explicit YC request in Fall 2026 and an acute pain for LATAM banks; we're watching and waiting for the winning business model.

AI for marketing and the creative industry

Generative AI has driven the cost of producing campaigns, videos and design close to zero. As a result, value shifts from production to strategy, data and distribution: the companies that stand out sell marketing outcomes as a B2B service (more leads, more conversions, more sales), measured and billed as performance. References such as Waymark, which generates complete video ads with AI, show the way. Creative startups with a clear B2B service behind them will find an open door in Theme 1.

Transforming education

AI tutors that adapt to each student's pace, automated assessment and tailored corporate training. YC dedicated a request to the theme in the Fall 2026 RFS ("The Primer"): a personal AI tutor able to expand every child's potential. It's a theme that directly intersects with what Link does every day as a business school, which is why we follow it closely, inside and outside the classroom.

Where we draw inspiration

The funds and programs we read

Link Horizons draws inspiration from how the world's best investors communicate their theses. These are the reference points we follow, both global and Brazilian.

Y Combinator (RFS)

YC's Request for Startups is the format that inspires this document. In the Fall 2026 RFS, the theme is AI entering the physical world: education, healthcare, defense, finance, infrastructure and work itself. For the first time, a request came from a sitting US Secretary of the Army. The edition's B2C requests (an AI tutor for children and consumer products for 1 billion people) fall outside our theses by choice, given our B2B pillar, but they confirm the breadth of the platform shift.

Sequoia Capital

Author of the "Services: The New Software" thesis. In launching its seed and venture funds, it describes this moment as a platform shift as transformative as the rise of the internet and seeks founders of any background, from all over the world.

a16z

Raised more than US$15 billion, with US$1.7 billion for AI infrastructure, US$1.176 billion for American Dynamism (defense and industry) and US$700 million for bio and health. In "Big Ideas 2026," it sees AI moving from tool to environment, system and agent.

Gama Fund

A co-investment of up to US$2M from Monashees and the Google AI Futures Fund for Brazilian founders at pre-seed and seed building AI-native companies. Its thesis speaks of going from Brazilian founder to global builder, exactly our global-from-day-1 pillar.

Kaszek and Monashees

The two largest VCs in LATAM. Kaszek says AI is to 2025 what the internet was to 1998-99, and that companies not born with AI in their DNA will struggle. Monashees has been investing since 2005 and backs companies such as Tractian.

Canary, Astella and Valor

Canary closed Canary IV, a US$150M fund, keeping its focus on pre-seed and seed. Astella, a value investor that treats AI as a cycle and preaches consistency. Valor Capital, a pioneering cross-border fund that bridges the US and LATAM.

The seven themes in this edition aren't fixed. They evolve, merge and gain contenders as the market moves. The market projections cited (for example, future figures for robotics and stablecoins) are third-party estimates, not established facts, and some valuation and ARR figures come from market estimates and funding trackers.